MX23RW : Sunday, July 28 22:17:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Conda
Vasco da Gama

Gremio
0 - 0
Vasco

LIVE
16'

Carvalho (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We say: Gremio 1-1 Vasco da Gama

Last year's runners-up have had a dispiriting season but Gaucho's side have found some form on their turf lately, and that should stand the hosts in good stead this weekend when they host a team that could fall back into old habits after losing to Mineiro last weekend. The spoils could be shared with neither side taking significant risks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw has a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (7.46%).

Result
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
53.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.13% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)54.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.02 -0.02)75.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)52.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17% (-0.029 -0.03)76.82% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.29%
    Vasco da Gama 21.57%
    Draw 25.12%
GremioDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Gremio vs Vasco

Gremio
38.1%
Draw
33.3%
Vasco da Gama
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Vasco
2-1
Gremio
David (24'), Carvalho (37')
Rossi (17'), Diaz (45+1'), Sforza (65'), Victor (90+6'), Piton (90+8')
Martins (68')
Pele (90+1')
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 37
Gremio
1-0
Vasco
Suarez (46')
Alves (45+5'), Martins (48'), Nathan (90+2')

Gomes (75')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Vasco
1-0
Gremio
Vegetti (80')
Praxedes (47')

Reinaldo (45')
Dec 6, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 24
Gremio
4-0
Vasco
Souza (41', 53'), Pinares (55'), Silva (90+2' pen.)
Souza (58'), Silva (88')

Matos (62')
Aug 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 5
Vasco
0-0
Gremio
Henrique (13'), Benitez (37'), Tenorio (74'), Andrey (86'), Ribamar (90')
Henrique (45+2'), Thaciano (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo19124334191540
2Botafogo20124431191240
3PalmeirasPalmeiras20113627161136
4FortalezaFortaleza1910632418636
5Cruzeiro1911262820835
6Sao Paulo209562821732
7Bahia209562924532
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR177462017325
9BragantinoBragantino187472221125
10Atletico Mineiro176742525025
11Vasco da GamaVasco187292028-823
12CriciumaCriciuma185672628-221
13JuventudeJuventude185672024-421
14InternacionalInternacional155551313020
15Corinthians194781725-819
16Vitoria2053122232-1018
17Cuiaba174581822-417
18Fluminense1945101524-917
19Gremio1743101422-815
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2026121631-1512


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