MX23RW : Sunday, July 28 22:18:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Kayzer (4' pen.)
Britez (65'), Andrade (80')
Hercules (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luciano (12'), Welington (57'), Bobadilla (70'), Zubeldia (80'), Hercules (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 2-1 Sao Paulo

While Sao Paulo will be looking to return to winning ways, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a spirited Fortaleza side who have been simply outstanding at home in recent weeks. Zubeldia's men have managed just one away win since the start of June and we see them struggling at the Estadio Castelao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortaleza.

Result
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
41.32% (-0.814 -0.81) 27.13% (0.343 0.34) 31.55% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.869 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-1.189 -1.19)55.59% (1.187 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.981 -0.98)76.75% (0.98100000000001 0.98)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)26.49% (0.975 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (-1.315 -1.32)61.68% (1.313 1.31)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.282 -0.28)32.47% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.317 -0.32)69% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 41.31%
    Sao Paulo 31.55%
    Draw 27.13%
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.388 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.365 0.37)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
63.6%
Draw
21.2%
Sao Paulo
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 1am
Gameweek 1
Sao Paulo
1-2
Fortaleza
Silva (84')
Luciano (75'), Luciano (76'), Nestor (90+8')
Martin Lucero (66'), Machuca (80')
Pochettino (23'), Britez (51'), Martin Lucero (54')
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
1-2
Fortaleza
Rodriguez (79')
Diego (53'), Mendes (67'), Rodriguinho (88')
Welison (16'), Martin Lucero (53' pen.)
Titi (18'), Welison (27'), Ricardo (60'), Marinho (69'), Augusto (90+8'), Galhardo (90+3')
May 12, 2023 12am
Aug 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Sao Paulo
0-1
Fortaleza

Reinaldo (58'), Patrick (89')
Capixaba (32')
Marcelo (28'), Miguel (51')
May 8, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Fortaleza
1-1
Sao Paulo
Pikachu (69')
Marcelo (15'), Pikachu (88')
Luciano (57')
Diego (16'), Gomes (45+2'), Luciano (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo19124334191540
2Botafogo20124431191240
3PalmeirasPalmeiras20113627161136
4FortalezaFortaleza1910632418636
5Cruzeiro1911262820835
6Sao Paulo209562821732
7Bahia209562924532
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR177462017325
9BragantinoBragantino187472221125
10Atletico Mineiro176742525025
11Vasco da GamaVasco187292028-823
12CriciumaCriciuma185672628-221
13JuventudeJuventude185672024-421
14InternacionalInternacional155551313020
15Corinthians194781725-819
16Vitoria2053122232-1018
17Cuiaba174581822-417
18Fluminense1945101524-917
19Gremio1743101422-815
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2026121631-1512


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