Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
vs.
Fluminense

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Fluminense

All competitions

Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Internacional
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense

While the draw last week would have been a welcome point for Fluminense following a torrid run of results, they were far from convincing in the match and did not do enough to suggest a complete turnaround in form is to be expected right away. Fortaleza have been excellent at home so far this season and are on a five-match winning streak in all competitions. We feel they will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (6.84%).

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
55.03% ( -1.1)	24.2% ( 0.16)	20.77% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

0.53)

51.62% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

0.46)

73.41% (

-0.46)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0.22)

18.65% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03% (

-0.37)

49.97% (

0.37)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

1.32)

39.48% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

1.2)

76.17% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 55.02%

Fluminense 20.77%

Draw 24.2%

Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.02%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.77%