Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK

Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
vs.
Fortaleza

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Vitoria 4-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

We say: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro may be coming into this game on the back of two consecutive defeats with eight goals conceded in that time, but they have not lost to Fortaleza at home since 2021, leading us to believe the home side will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw has a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fortaleza has a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Fortaleza win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
58.63% ( 0.14)	22.44% ( 0.09)	18.93% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.14% (

-0.71)

46.85% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.89% (

-0.67)

69.11% (

0.67)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

-0.2)

15.65% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.32% (

-0.37)

44.67% (

0.37)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

-0.66)

38.7% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

-0.63)

75.44% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 58.62%

Fortaleza 18.93%

Draw 22.44%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.93%