Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.