Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 12, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 2
Fortaleza

Pedro (39' pen.)
Rodrigues de Souza (57')

LIVE
70'

Wesley (11' og.), Martin Lucero (63')
Cardona (38')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

We say: Flamengo 2-1 Fortaleza

Despite a mini bump in the road last time out, Flamengo are in flying form heading into this one and are huge favourites to come out on top. While we expect Fortaleza to put up a good fight, we are tipping the hosts to secure maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Fortaleza has a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Fortaleza win it is 0-1 (4.74%).

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
66.51% ( 0.95)	20.15% ( -0.45)	13.34% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 46.63% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8% (

0.81)

47.19% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

0.75)

69.42% (

-0.75)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7% (

0.53)

13.29% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.88% (

1.07)

40.12% (

-1.07)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.78% (

-0.27)

46.22% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.11% (

-0.21)

81.89% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 66.49%

Fortaleza 13.34%

Draw 20.15%

Flamengo	Draw	Fortaleza
2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 66.49%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.15%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.34%