Flamengo

2 - 1

Bahia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.