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Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Athletico Paranaense

Cuiaba
0 - 1
Athletico PR

LIVE
16'
Julimar (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Palestino
Thursday, July 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We say: Cuiaba 1-0 Athletico Paranaense

With two of the Brasileiro's lowest-scoring teams going head to head, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair. However, we can also see the hosts just about edging out their visitors to claim maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Cuiaba has a probability of 34.91% and a draw has a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cuiaba win is 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.24%).

Result
CuiabaDrawAthletico Paranaense
34.91% (-1.202 -1.2) 28.32% (0.255 0.25) 36.77% (0.943 0.94)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.791 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.959 -0.96)59.43% (0.956 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-0.745 -0.75)79.81% (0.74100000000001 0.74)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-1.259 -1.26)32.16% (1.254 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-1.452 -1.45)68.65% (1.449 1.45)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (0.11199999999999 0.11)30.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (0.129 0.13)67.28% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 34.91%
    Athletico Paranaense 36.77%
    Draw 28.31%
CuiabaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.354 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.77%

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Athletico PR

Cuiaba
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Athletico Paranaense
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Athletico PR
4-0
Cuiaba
Pablo (23'), Canobbio (37'), Godoy (39'), Mastriani (81')

Lacerda (41'), Empereur (45+1'), Augusto (81')
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Cuiaba
3-0
Athletico PR
Clayson (13' pen., 90+6'), Lacerda (17')
Oliveira (46'), Sobral (52'), Clayson (69'), Cafu (70')
Clayson (90+8')

Madson (45+6'), Cuello (90+1'), Belezi (90+5')
Aug 16, 2023 12am
Gameweek 19
Athletico PR
2-0
Cuiaba
Canobbio (45'), Zapelli (82')
Fernandinho (34'), Carvalho (35'), Caca (40'), Erick (45+2'), Canobbio (67'), Heleno (90+6')

Rikelme (36'), Deyverson (40'), Empereur (83')
Sep 18, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 27
Athletico PR
2-2
Cuiaba
Cuello (35'), Terans (45+4' pen.)
Rodrigoinho (9'), Deyverson (65')
May 29, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 8
Cuiaba
0-1
Athletico PR

Alesson (29'), Marques (34'), Rivas (35'), Guedes (62'), Valdivia (80')
Roque (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo19124334191540
2Botafogo20124431191240
3PalmeirasPalmeiras20113627161136
4FortalezaFortaleza1910632418636
5Cruzeiro1911262820835
6Sao Paulo209562821732
7Bahia209562924532
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR177462017325
9BragantinoBragantino187472221125
10Atletico Mineiro176742525025
11Vasco da GamaVasco187292028-823
12CriciumaCriciuma185672628-221
13JuventudeJuventude185672024-421
14InternacionalInternacional155551313020
15Corinthians194781725-819
16Vitoria2053122232-1018
17Cuiaba174581822-417
18Fluminense1945101524-917
19Gremio1743101422-815
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2026121631-1512


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