Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.