EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Waine (62'), Hardie (81'), Bundu (84')
Szucs (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pett (19'), Payne (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Newport
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cheltenham Town
40.06% ( -1.13)	24.18% ( 0.14)	35.75% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 60.62% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.1% (

-0.51)

41.89% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.7% (

-0.52)

64.3% (

0.51)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

-0.74)

21.04% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15% (

-1.17)

53.84% (

1.17)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

0.3)

23.22% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88% (

0.44)

57.12% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 40.06%

Cheltenham Town 35.75%

Draw 24.17%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.06%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.75%