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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Luton Town

Plymouth
3 - 1
Luton

Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
35.97% (0.117 0.12)24.18% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)39.85% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.107 0.11)41.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.107 0.11)64.27% (-0.107 -0.11)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.113 0.11)23.09% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.163 0.16)56.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 35.97%
    Luton Town 39.85%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Luton

Plymouth Argyle
25.2%
Draw
15.9%
Luton Town
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Luton
1-1
Plymouth
Hylton (8')
Smith (17'), Cook (43')
Tanner (25')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Luton

Purrington (86')
Marriott (27')
Smith (59'), McGeehan (77'), Rea (89')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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