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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Sunderland | 
| 42.47% | 25.42% (  0) | 32.1% | 
| Both teams to score 55.26% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.55% | 48.44% (  0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.42% | 70.58% (  0) | 
| Watford Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.29% (  0) | 22.71% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% | 56.38% (  0) | 
| Sunderland Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.5% (  0) | 28.5% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% | 64.27% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Watford | Draw | Sunderland | 
| 1-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.1% |