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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sunderland

Watford
2 - 1
Sunderland

Ebosele (28'), Dele-Bashiru (84' pen.)
Ebosele (30'), Porteous (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Isidor (49')
Bellingham (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Watford
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSunderland
42.47%25.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)32.1%
Both teams to score 55.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55%48.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42%70.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)22.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62%56.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73%64.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 42.47%
    Sunderland 32.1%
    Draw 25.42%
WatfordDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.1%

How you voted: Watford vs Sunderland

Watford
31.3%
Draw
27.1%
Sunderland
41.7%
48
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Andrews (64')
Kayembe (10'), Lewis (86')

O'Nien (58')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sunderland
2-0
Watford
Huggins (43'), Ba (62')
Burstow (50')

Ngakia (27'), Dele-Bashiru (58'), Bachmann (74'), Louza (74'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (87')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Sunderland
2-2
Watford
O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
2-2
Sunderland
Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')