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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 1
Coventry

Dele-Bashiru (67')
Pollock (38'), Porteous (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simms (4')
Torp (44'), Latibeaudiere (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Watford
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Coventry City

Watford have been formidable at Vicarage Road so far this season, winning four straight matches across all competitions by an aggregate scoreline of 12-1. As a result, the Hornets should be extremely confident of dealing with the threat of Coventry this weekend, so we are expecting a narrow win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
43.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 30.21% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.064 0.06)50.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.056999999999999 0.06)72.71% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.021999999999991 0.02)23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.83% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05)30.98% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (0.059000000000005 0.06)67.28% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 43.97%
    Coventry City 30.21%
    Draw 25.81%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
65.3%
Draw
22.2%
Coventry City
12.5%
72
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-2
Coventry
Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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