| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 46 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 33.95% | 29.4% | 36.66% |
| Both teams to score 43.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.81% | 63.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.39% | 82.61% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% | 34.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.49% | 71.52% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% | 32.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.45% | 69.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.21% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 12.72% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Norwich CityNorwich | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Reading | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 4 | Burnley | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Watford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Luton TownLuton | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Preston North EndPreston | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 | Hull City | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 11 |
| 21 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 22 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 24 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
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