Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Goutas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Cardiff City
43.07% ( 3.13)	25.09% ( -0.04)	31.85% ( -3.08)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.95% (

-0.61)

47.05% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.71% (

-0.57)

69.29% (

0.58)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

1.25)

21.83% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

1.87)

55.06% (

-1.86)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03% (

-2.18)

27.97% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

-2.87)

63.61% (

2.87)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 43.07%

Cardiff City 31.85%

Draw 25.09%

Luton Town	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.46) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.07%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.37) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.85%