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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town
Cardiff
1 - 2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Freeman (21'), Adebayo (45+1'), Osho (63')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Preston
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship

Luton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

 Although both sides have struggled to consistently find the net this season, with four points from their last two games, we think that Luton will have the confidence to claim a narrow victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.13% (-1.292 -1.29) 28.08% (-0.337 -0.34) 39.79% (1.631 1.63)
Both teams to score 47.04% (0.688 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (0.98399999999999 0.98)58.95% (-0.984 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (0.757 0.76)79.43% (-0.75599999999999 -0.76)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.38499999999999 -0.38)33.81% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (-0.422 -0.42)70.48% (0.422 0.42)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (1.445 1.44)28.93% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (1.756 1.76)64.81% (-1.755 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.12%
    Luton Town 39.79%
    Draw 28.08%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.095 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.316 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.247 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.111 0.11)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
39.0%
Draw
18.3%
Luton Town
42.7%
82
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Luton
0-2
Cardiff
Wilson (53'), Vaulks (57')
Vaulks (65')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Luton
0-1
Cardiff
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742
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