Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.