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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Portsmouth | 
| 44.94% (  -0.49) | 25.25% (  -0.11) | 29.81% (  0.6) | 
| Both teams to score 54.73% (  0.69) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.36% (  0.74) | 48.64% (  -0.74) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.24% (  0.67) | 70.76% (  -0.67) | 
| Cardiff City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.36% (  0.09) | 21.64% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% (  0.13) | 54.77% (  -0.13) | 
| Portsmouth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.85% (  0.81) | 30.15% (  -0.81) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% (  0.96) | 66.3% (  -0.96) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cardiff City | Draw | Portsmouth | 
| 1-0 @ 9.99% (  -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.16% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.64% (  -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.68% (  -0) 3-0 @ 3.9% (  -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.8% (  0.06) 4-1 @ 1.79% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.49% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% (  0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 11.97% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.52% (  -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.49% (  0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% (  0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.82% (  -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.18% (  0.12) 0-2 @ 4.69% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 2.87% (  0.11) 2-3 @ 2.2% (  0.09) 0-3 @ 1.88% (  0.07) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.81% |