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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Portsmouth |
44.94% (![]() | 25.25% (![]() | 29.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.36% (![]() | 48.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.24% (![]() | 70.76% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% (![]() | 21.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.23% (![]() | 54.77% (![]() |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% (![]() | 30.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.7% (![]() | 66.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.99% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 11.97% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.82% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.81% |