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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Portsmouth

Cardiff
2 - 0
Portsmouth

Poole (6' og.), Robinson (13')
Chambers (17'), Rinomhota (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (23'), Botts (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
44.94% (-0.495 -0.49)25.25% (-0.106 -0.11)29.81% (0.601 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.693 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.744 0.74)48.64% (-0.745 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.673 0.67)70.76% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.088000000000008 0.09)21.64% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.133 0.13)54.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.80799999999999 0.81)30.15% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.95800000000001 0.96)66.3% (-0.959 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.94%
    Portsmouth 29.81%
    Draw 25.25%
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.81%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Portsmouth

Cardiff City
65.8%
Draw
15.2%
Portsmouth
19.0%
79
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cardiff
0-3
Portsmouth
Pigott (58'), Curtis (68' pen.), Bishop (72')
Mingi (58')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Cardiff
2-1
Portsmouth
Mendez-Laing (48'), Halford (113')
Murphy (45')
Morrison (32' og.)
Jan 21, 2012 3pm
Aug 27, 2011 3pm
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
Cardiff
3-0
Portsmouth
Olofinjana (6'), Whittingham (73'), Bothroyd (45')
Samuel (61')

Lawrence (13'), Nugent (60'), Kitson (88')
Rocha (18')
rhs 2.0


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