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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Portsmouth

Cardiff
2 - 0
Portsmouth

Poole (6' og.), Robinson (13')
Chambers (17'), Rinomhota (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (23'), Botts (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
44.94% (-0.495 -0.49)25.25% (-0.106 -0.11)29.81% (0.601 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.693 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.744 0.74)48.64% (-0.745 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.673 0.67)70.76% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.088000000000008 0.09)21.64% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.133 0.13)54.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.80799999999999 0.81)30.15% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.95800000000001 0.96)66.3% (-0.959 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.94%
    Portsmouth 29.81%
    Draw 25.25%
Cardiff CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.81%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Portsmouth

Cardiff City
65.8%
Draw
15.2%
Portsmouth
19.0%
79
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cardiff
0-3
Portsmouth
Pigott (58'), Curtis (68' pen.), Bishop (72')
Mingi (58')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Cardiff
2-1
Portsmouth
Mendez-Laing (48'), Halford (113')
Murphy (45')
Morrison (32' og.)
Jan 21, 2012 3pm
Aug 27, 2011 3pm
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
Cardiff
3-0
Portsmouth
Olofinjana (6'), Whittingham (73'), Bothroyd (45')
Samuel (61')

Lawrence (13'), Nugent (60'), Kitson (88')
Rocha (18')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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