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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall | 
| 30.78% (  0.2) | 27.35% (  0.02) | 41.87% (  -0.22) | 
| Both teams to score 48.71% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.37% (  -0.02) | 56.63% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.4% (  -0.02) | 77.6% (  0.02) | 
| Cardiff City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.43% (  0.13) | 33.56% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% (  0.15) | 70.21% (  -0.15) | 
| Millwall Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.32% (  -0.13) | 26.68% (  0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% (  -0.17) | 61.93% (  0.17) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall | 
| 1-0 @ 9.78% (  0.04) 2-1 @ 7.05% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 5.34% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 2.57% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 1.94% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% (  0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.78% | 1-1 @ 12.91% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% (  0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.83% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.82% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.44% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.05% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.24% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.87% |