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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Ng (39')
Chambers (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Norre (64'), Cooper (87'), Leonard (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Preston
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
30.78% (0.198 0.2)27.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02)41.87% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)56.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (0.13300000000001 0.13)33.56% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (0.146 0.15)70.21% (-0.149 -0.15)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)26.68% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-0.171 -0.17)61.93% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 30.78%
    Millwall 41.87%
    Draw 27.34%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.78%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 11.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.87%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
29.5%
Draw
14.1%
Millwall
56.4%
78
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
3-1
Cardiff
Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')
Meite (24')
Collins (69')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Goutas (78')
Meite (62')

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cardiff
0-1
Millwall
Bradshaw (26')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Millwall
2-1
Cardiff
Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
Bagan (90+1')