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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Millwall
3 - 0
Sheff Weds

Coburn (58'), Watmore (71'), Cooper (88')
Tanganga (43'), Esse (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bannan (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

While Sheffield Wednesday do head into the weekend on the back of consecutive league defeats, conceding six goals across those without scoring, they should eye up Saturday's contest as a good opportunity to bounce back. After falling short against particularly tough opposition and showing their quality in a thrashing of Plymouth Argyle, we back Rohl's men to get the better of a Millwall side who are yet to kickstart their campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSheffield Wednesday
38.05% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04) 27.14% (0.029 0.03) 34.82% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-0.113 -0.11)54.99% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)76.26% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)28.03% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.1 -0.1)63.68% (0.101 0.1)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)29.99% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.055 -0.05)66.11% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 38.05%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.81%
    Draw 27.13%
MillwallDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 34.81%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sheff Weds

Millwall
43.9%
Draw
12.2%
Sheffield Wednesday
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Millwall
0-2
Sheff Weds

Honeyman (28'), Saville (76'), Tanganga (90+3')
Ugbo (31'), Musaba (41')
Vaulks (51'), Palmer (90+1'), (90+2')
Fletcher (90+2')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Sheff Weds
0-4
Millwall

Bernard (51'), Paterson (82')
Wallace (31'), Saville (42'), Harding (52'), Norton-Cuffy (72')
Cooper (41'), Saville (72')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Millwall
4-1
Sheff Weds
Zohore (39' pen.), Malone (68'), Thompson (69'), Bradshaw (90')
Hutchinson (23')
Paterson (10')
Urhoghide (84')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sheff Weds
0-0
Millwall
van Aken (65'), Brown (90+8')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 30
Sheff Weds
0-0
Millwall
Reach (23'), Bannan (32'), Iorfa (53'), Odubajo (92')
Williams (18'), Wallace (49'), Cooper (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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