EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
0 - 1
Millwall

Whyte (45'), Lang (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Esse (13')
Roberts (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Portsmouth and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Watford
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Millwall
52.9% ( 0.15)	24.7% ( 0.02)	22.4% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

-0.22)

51.84% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

-0.19)

73.59% (

0.19)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

-0.02)

19.56% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

-0.04)

51.47% (

0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.03% (

-0.28)

37.96% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.26% (

-0.28)

74.73% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 52.89%

Millwall 22.4%

Draw 24.69%

Portsmouth	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.89%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.4%