Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 0
Cardiff

Goudmijn (28')
Adams (20'), Mendez-Laing (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bagan (56'), Fish (61'), Ralls (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Cardiff City
47.93% ( -0.04)	26.01% ( 0.01)	26.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.12% (

-0.03)

53.88% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.66% (

-0.02)

75.34% (

0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

-0.03)

22.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

-0.04)

56.05% (

0.05)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

0.01)

35.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

72.57% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derby County 47.93%

Cardiff City 26.07%

Draw 26.01%

Derby County	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.93%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.07%

How you voted: Derby vs Cardiff

Derby County

71.4%

Draw

12.7%

Cardiff City

15.9%

Head to Head

May 7, 2022 12.30pm

Gameweek 46

Derby

0-1

Cardiff

Thompson (73')

Hugill (55')
Ng (69'), Harris (81')

> Preview

Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 23

Cardiff

1-0

Derby

Ikpeazu (85')
Davies (26'), Doughty (90+2')

Buchanan (52'), Davies (62'), Bird (80'), Ebosele (90+3')

> Preview

Mar 2, 2021 7pm

Gameweek 34

Cardiff

4-0

Derby

Bacuna (22', 56'), Moore (48'), Vaulks (90+3')

> Match Report

Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 8

Derby

1-1

Cardiff

Waghorn (24')
Jozwiak (82'), Shinnie (86'), te Wierik (90')

Moore (77')
Morrison (82'), Ojo (90+1'), Bacuna (90+3')

> Match Report

Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 44

Form Guide

Derby 3-0 Bristol City

Barrow 0-0 Derby (3-2 pen.)

Watford 2-1 Derby

Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough

Derby 2-1 Chesterfield

Blackburn 4-2 Derby

Cardiff 0-2 Middlesbrough

Cardiff 3-5 Southampton

Swansea 1-1 Cardiff

Burnley 5-0 Cardiff

Cardiff 2-0 Bristol Rovers

Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table