Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Sarmiento (63'), Brownhill (90+4')
Cullen (34'), Flemming (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lang (42')
Murphy (50'), Williams (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-3 West Brom
Sunday, September 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Portsmouth
49.98% ( 0.06)	23.48% ( -0.02)	26.54% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.27% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

0.08)

42.89% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

0.08)

65.3% (

-0.08)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

0.05)

17.28% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

0.09)

47.62% (

-0.09)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

0.01)

29.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41% (

0.01)

65.59% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Burnley 49.98%

Portsmouth 26.54%

Draw 23.47%

Burnley	Draw	Portsmouth
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.54%