Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Sarmiento (63'), Brownhill (90+4')
Cullen (34'), Flemming (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lang (42')
Murphy (50'), Williams (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-3 West Brom
Sunday, September 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Portsmouth
49.98% ( 0.06)	23.48% ( -0.02)	26.54% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.27% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

0.08)

42.89% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

0.08)

65.3% (

-0.08)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

0.05)

17.28% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

0.09)

47.62% (

-0.09)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

0.01)

29.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41% (

0.01)

65.59% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Burnley 49.98%

Portsmouth 26.54%

Draw 23.47%

Burnley	Draw	Portsmouth
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.54%

How you voted: Burnley vs Portsmouth

Burnley

83.1%

Draw

10.8%

Portsmouth

6.2%

Head to Head

Mar 31, 2012 3pm

Portsmouth

1-5

Burnley

Norris (19')
Maguire (78'), Norris (84')

Trippier (16'), Ings (47')
Grant (60'), Marney (78')

Dec 10, 2011 3pm

Burnley

0-1

Portsmouth

Norris (90')
Kitson (23'), Mattock (43')

Apr 25, 2011 3pm

Burnley

1-1

Portsmouth

Eagles (74')

Nugent (57')
Ashdown (56'), Cotterill (90')

Jan 25, 2011 3pm

Portsmouth

1-2

Burnley

Utaka (33')

Marney (37'), Rodriguez (31')
Cork (39'), Duff (88')

Feb 27, 2010 3pm

Burnley

1-2

Portsmouth

Paterson (31')
Carlisle (75')

Yebda (76' pen.), Piquionne (25')
Wilson (81'), Rocha (85')
Rocha (90')

Form Guide

Leeds 0-1 Burnley

Burnley 1-1 Blackburn

Wolves 2-0 Burnley

Sunderland 1-0 Burnley

Burnley 5-0 Cardiff

Luton 1-4 Burnley

Portsmouth 0-3 West Brom

Portsmouth 1-3 Sunderland

Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth

Portsmouth 0-0 Luton

Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table