Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Britannia Stadium

Stoke
6 - 1
Portsmouth

Cannon (13', 43', 48' pen., 51'), Gallagher (45+1'), Moran (54')
Moran (55'), Bae (73')

FT(HT: 3-1)

O'Mahony (29')
Lane (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Portsmouth
49.48% ( 0.81)	24.62% ( -0.06)	25.9% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

-0.3)

48.4% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

-0.27)

70.54% (

0.27)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

0.21)

19.59% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.46% (

0.35)

51.53% (

-0.36)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-0.77)

32.98% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.85)

69.56% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 49.47%

Portsmouth 25.9%

Draw 24.61%

Stoke City	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 49.47%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.9%