Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Stoke
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Rose (54')
Thompson (18'), Bae (33'), Manhoef (45+4'), Johansson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennett (90+1')
Helm (28'), Mayor (45+4'), Bolton (57')
Stoke win 2-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
50.38% (-1.289 -1.29)23.47% (0.16 0.16)26.14% (1.132 1.13)
Both teams to score 57.9% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79% (0.261 0.26)43.21% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (0.257 0.26)65.61% (-0.256 -0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.38000000000001 -0.38)17.25% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (-0.669 -0.67)47.56% (0.668 0.67)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (1.027 1.03)30.03% (-1.026 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (1.218 1.22)66.15% (-1.217 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 50.38%
    Fleetwood Town 26.14%
    Draw 23.47%
Stoke CityDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.115 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.211 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.23% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Fleetwood

Stoke City
64.4%
Draw
12.2%
Fleetwood Town
23.3%
90
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Stoke
1-1
Fleetwood
Campbell (36')
Batty (63')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
Fleetwood
Surridge (45'), Souttar (77')
Chester (90+4' og.)
Batty (33'), Hill (65'), Matete (69')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!