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EFL Cup

Carlisle United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Stoke logo

Carlisle
0 - 2
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-0)
Anderson (49'), Tezgel (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Carlisle United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 4-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawStoke City
16.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.41% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.95%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)13.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 16.56%
    Stoke City 62.4%
    Draw 21.03%
Carlisle UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.56%
1-1 @ 9.98%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.03%
0-1 @ 10.93%
0-2 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 6.57%
0-4 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 3%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-5 @ 1.42%
1-5 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.4%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Stoke

Carlisle United
5.9%
Draw
2.0%
Stoke City
92.2%
51