League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Derby
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Wycombe
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 2-0 Carlisle United
Heading into the game with home advantage and the desperation to get over the line with a victory, while boasting far more quality and momentum, we expect Derby County to make no mistake at Pride Park and come out on top to seal second spot and a return to the Championship. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 71.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Carlisle United |
71.23% ( -0.22) | 17.95% ( 0.08) | 10.82% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
