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EFL Cup
Middlesbrough logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 5
Stoke


McCabe (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tezgel (14'), Mmaee (57'), Koumas (60'), Manhoef (65', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Stoke City

 This is a tricky game to call, as both managers will make changes on Tuesday, and it is a match that could go either way. Middlesbrough will be able to call upon home advantage, though, and we are backing Carrick's team to navigate their way into the third round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 31.98% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.12%).

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
42.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.55% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)49.05% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.86% (-0.012 -0.01)71.13% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)28.88% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)64.74% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.46%
    Stoke City 31.98%
    Draw 25.55%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.98%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
76.7%
Draw
13.6%
Stoke City
9.7%
103
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stoke
2-0
Middlesbrough
Bae (40'), Baker (71')
Laurent (46'), Wilmot (51'), Ennis (62')

Latte Lath (51')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Middlesbrough
0-2
Stoke

McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
> Preview
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