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EFL Cup

Leeds logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo

Leeds
0 - 3
Middlesbrough


Byram (35'), Firpo (45+4'), Struijk (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dijksteel (50'), Burgzorg (60'), Coburn (67')
Howson (25'), Ayling (69'), Gilbert (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
49.89% (-0.468 -0.47)23.85% (0.532 0.53)26.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.75% (-1.875 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (-2.452 -2.45)44.78% (2.446 2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (-2.404 -2.4)67.14% (2.4 2.4)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-1.101 -1.1)18.03% (1.096 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08% (-1.917 -1.92)48.91% (1.913 1.91)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-1.343 -1.34)30.77% (1.339 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (-1.609 -1.61)67.03% (1.604 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 49.89%
    Middlesbrough 26.26%
    Draw 23.85%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.654 0.65)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.564 0.56)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.443 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 26.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
75.8%
Draw
12.9%
Middlesbrough
11.3%
62
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-4
Leeds
Jones (7'), Latte Lath (30', 87')
Latte Lath (35'), Jones (78'), Howson (80')
Summerville (14' pen., 61'), Bamford (18'), Gnonto (39')
Bamford (45+2')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
3-2
Middlesbrough
James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Middlesbrough
0-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
4-0
Middlesbrough
> Match Report
Feb 9, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-1
Leeds
Wing (47')
Saville (59'), Howson (98')
Phillips (101')
Jansson (103')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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