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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.78% (![]() | 23.47% (![]() | 33.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.13% (![]() | 38.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.81% (![]() | 61.18% (![]() |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% (![]() | 18.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% (![]() | 49.81% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% (![]() | 22.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% (![]() | 56.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.89% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.58% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 40 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 55 | 12 | 43 | 84 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 40 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 83 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 40 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 79 | 28 | 51 | 82 |
4 | Sunderland | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 75 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 60 |
6 | Bristol City | 40 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 60 |
7 | Coventry CityCoventry | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 59 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 40 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 57 |
9 | Millwall | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 54 |
10 | Watford | 40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 53 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 52 |
12 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 52 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 52 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 40 | 10 | 18 | 12 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 48 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 48 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 46 |
17 | Portsmouth | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 45 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 40 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 45 |
19 | Hull City | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 44 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 43 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 41 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 40 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 41 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 40 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 39 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 40 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 42 | 78 | -36 | 37 |
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