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League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Rotherham logo

Bolton
0 - 1
Rotherham


Baxter (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham should not be underestimated for this clash as they have had a couple of wins on the bounce under their interim boss Hamshaw. However, Bolton have performed well at home this season, so we think that they will edge a close match on Tuesday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
52.3% (2.778 2.78) 23.99% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 23.71% (-2.688 -2.69)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-2.468 -2.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-1.962 -1.96)47.68% (1.961 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-1.839 -1.84)69.88% (1.836 1.84)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.325 0.33)18.2% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.55399999999999 0.55)49.21% (-0.556 -0.56)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-3.291 -3.29)34.45% (3.29 3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-3.667 -3.67)71.16% (3.666 3.67)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.3%
    Rotherham United 23.71%
    Draw 23.99%
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.946 0.95)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.895 0.9)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.557 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.258 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.3%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.333 -0.33)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Rotherham

Bolton Wanderers
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
3-1
Bolton
Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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