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League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Rotherham logo

Bolton
0 - 1
Rotherham


Baxter (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham should not be underestimated for this clash as they have had a couple of wins on the bounce under their interim boss Hamshaw. However, Bolton have performed well at home this season, so we think that they will edge a close match on Tuesday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
52.3% (2.778 2.78) 23.99% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 23.71% (-2.688 -2.69)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-2.468 -2.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-1.962 -1.96)47.68% (1.961 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-1.839 -1.84)69.88% (1.836 1.84)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.325 0.33)18.2% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.55399999999999 0.55)49.21% (-0.556 -0.56)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-3.291 -3.29)34.45% (3.29 3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-3.667 -3.67)71.16% (3.666 3.67)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.3%
    Rotherham United 23.71%
    Draw 23.99%
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.946 0.95)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.895 0.9)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.557 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.258 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.3%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.333 -0.33)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Rotherham

Bolton Wanderers
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Rotherham United
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
3-1
Bolton
Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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