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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Bolton
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Collins (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Butcher (30'), Forde (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 1 at 8pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Bolton may have been out of sorts at the end of March, but they will be expecting to take all three points against a relegation-threatened team this weekend. However, the Trotters did need a last-gasp winner to earn their victory last time out, and Rovers could make the game a close-fought contest in their desperation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it is 0-1 (4.18%).

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
67.06% (2.252 2.25) 19.12% (-1.038 -1.04) 13.82% (-1.215 -1.22)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.331 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (2.06 2.06)41.59% (-2.059 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (2.051 2.05)63.99% (-2.051 -2.05)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52% (1.231 1.23)11.48% (-1.231 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.68% (2.604 2.6)36.32% (-2.603 -2.6)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (-0.438 -0.44)41.99% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (-0.383 -0.38)78.43% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 67.05%
    Bristol Rovers 13.82%
    Draw 19.12%
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.15% (0.423 0.42)
3-1 @ 7.07% (0.286 0.29)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.426 0.43)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.328 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.088 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.266 0.27)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.213 0.21)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 67.05%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.462 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1%
Total : 19.12%
0-1 @ 4.18% (-0.456 -0.46)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 13.82%

How you voted: Bolton vs Bristol Rovers

Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Bristol Rovers
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
3-2
Bolton
Martin (6' pen., 63'), Taylor (88')
Forde (90+2'), Swinkels (90+4')
Morley (38'), McAtee (70')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Evans (32'), Thomas (56'), Martin (62'), Connolly (76'), Baxter (90+8'), Taylor (90+8')
Collins (52'), Morley (90+8' pen.)
Iredale (55'), Conteh (85')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Toal (84')
Forrester (45+3'), Baxter (45+5'), Dempsey (81'), Williams (88')
Santos (33')
Marquis (10'), Evans (41')
Finley (17'), Thomas (29'), Taylor (87'), Taylor (87')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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