Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.