Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.