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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Bolton

Sweeney (53')
McKiernan (29'), Armer (42'), Lofthouse (59'), Bennett (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morley (22'), Sheehan (60')
Sheehan (47'), Murphy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Both sides have been in improved form in recent weeks and will be motivated by ambitions that are within reach this weekend. However, with so much at stake, and Bolton's mixed form on the road, this match could end in a stalemate after a hard-fought 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
28.33% (0.586 0.59) 27.1% (0.161 0.16) 44.57% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (-0.296 -0.3)56.68% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (-0.24 -0.24)77.64% (0.241 0.24)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.30800000000001 0.31)35.45% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.319 0.32)72.21% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (-0.502 -0.5)25.31% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92% (-0.695 -0.7)60.08% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.33%
    Bolton Wanderers 44.56%
    Draw 27.1%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.63% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 12.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.56%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')
Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bolton
1-0
Burton Albion
Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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