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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Bolton

Sweeney (53')
McKiernan (29'), Armer (42'), Lofthouse (59'), Bennett (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morley (22'), Sheehan (60')
Sheehan (47'), Murphy (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Both sides have been in improved form in recent weeks and will be motivated by ambitions that are within reach this weekend. However, with so much at stake, and Bolton's mixed form on the road, this match could end in a stalemate after a hard-fought 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
28.33% (0.586 0.59) 27.1% (0.161 0.16) 44.57% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (-0.296 -0.3)56.68% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (-0.24 -0.24)77.64% (0.241 0.24)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.30800000000001 0.31)35.45% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.319 0.32)72.21% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (-0.502 -0.5)25.31% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.92% (-0.695 -0.7)60.08% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.33%
    Bolton Wanderers 44.56%
    Draw 27.1%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.63% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.83% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 12.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.56%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')
Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bolton
1-0
Burton Albion
Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham41299373294496
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe432412769373284
3Wrexham432411860332783
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4323101060392179
5Stockport CountyStockport432212964382678
6Leyton Orient432161665461969
7Reading431912125952769
8Bolton WanderersBolton43206176364-166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43197175546964
10Blackpool4216151166541263
11Lincoln CityLincoln431513155849958
12Barnsley43169186368-557
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham431510185156-555
14Exeter CityExeter431411184558-1353
15Stevenage421410183947-852
16Wigan AthleticWigan421214163639-350
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough421310196373-1049
18Mansfield TownMansfield42139205262-1048
19Northampton TownNorthampton431114184361-1847
20Burton Albion421013194459-1543
21Bristol Rovers43127244369-2643
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43911234267-2538
23Crawley TownCrawley43910244981-3237
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4379273772-3530


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