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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
28.33% (![]() | 27.1% (![]() | 44.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.32% (![]() | 56.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.36% (![]() | 77.64% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% (![]() | 35.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% (![]() | 72.21% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.69% (![]() | 25.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.92% (![]() | 60.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.3% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.33% | 1-1 @ 12.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 12.32% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 41 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 96 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 84 |
3 | Wrexham | 43 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 83 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 79 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 78 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 43 | 21 | 6 | 16 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 69 |
7 | Reading | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 69 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 66 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 64 |
10 | Blackpool | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 63 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 58 |
12 | Barnsley | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 57 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 53 |
15 | Stevenage | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 52 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 50 |
17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 49 |
18 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 48 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 43 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 43 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 38 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 49 | 81 | -32 | 37 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |