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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 26
Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Burton Albion

Stevenage
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-1)
Webster (45')
Dodgson (79'), Crocombe (90'), Godwin-Malife (90+2')
Vancooten (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Burton Albion

Stevenage have won three of their last four matches at the Lamex Stadium, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to claim a narrow victory over a Burton side that are low on confidence following an eight-game winless run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
51.38% (0.925 0.92) 26.44% (-0.321 -0.32) 22.18% (-0.608 -0.61)
Both teams to score 44.79% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (0.575 0.58)58.43% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.446 0.45)79.02% (-0.449 -0.45)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.65900000000001 0.66)22.87% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.963 0.96)56.62% (-0.966 -0.97)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.279 -0.28)41.92% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.243 -0.24)78.37% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 51.37%
    Burton Albion 22.18%
    Draw 26.43%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 14.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.18%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Stevenage
87.0%
Burton Albion
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 7pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
0-4
Stevenage

Bran (2'), Willis (20'), Gilligan (72'), Whitfield (74')
Freestone (6'), Simpson (54'), Aboh (78'), White (83')
Piergianni (62')
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Burton Albion
0-0
Stevenage
Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stevenage
1-2
Burton Albion
Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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