

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 28.36% (  4.42) | 25.76% (  1.29) | 45.88% (  -5.71) | 
| Both teams to score 52.22% (  -0.14) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.49% (  -2.04) | 51.51% (  2.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.69% (  -1.81) | 73.31% (  1.81) | 
| Crawley Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.31% (  2.54) | 32.69% (  -2.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.76% (  2.74) | 69.24% (  -2.74) | 
| Stevenage Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.58% (  -3.26) | 22.42% (  3.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.06% (  -5.13) | 55.94% (  5.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 1-0 @ 8.19% (  1.15) 2-1 @ 6.85% (  0.78) 2-0 @ 4.58% (  0.91) 3-1 @ 2.55% (  0.44) 3-2 @ 1.91% (  0.17) 3-0 @ 1.71% (  0.43) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.36% | 1-1 @ 12.25% (  0.62) 0-0 @ 7.33% (  0.58) 2-2 @ 5.12% (  0.11) 3-3 @ 0.95% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 10.95% (  -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.16% (  -0.45) 0-2 @ 8.19% (  -1.02) 1-3 @ 4.57% (  -0.73) 0-3 @ 4.08% (  -0.99) 2-3 @ 2.55% (  -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.71% (  -0.48) 0-4 @ 1.53% (  -0.57) 2-4 @ 0.95% (  -0.19) Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.88% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
