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League One | Gameweek 19
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stevenage

Crawley
3 - 1
Stevenage

Forster (50'), Quitirna (87'), Doyle (90+3')
Ibrahim (14')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hanlan (53')
Piergianni (47'), Phillips (54'), Sweeney (63'), Thompson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Stevenage

Crawley are in good form at the moment having recorded consecutive wins and will head into Saturday's game confident of achieving a positive result. On the other hand, Revell's side's defence may prove too stubborn to score more than one against, and given Elliot's side have conceded 28 goals this season, they may not be able to keep even Stevenage at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStevenage
28.36% (4.424 4.42) 25.76% (1.289 1.29) 45.88% (-5.711 -5.71)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (-2.042 -2.04)51.51% (2.045 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (-1.806 -1.81)73.31% (1.808 1.81)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (2.538 2.54)32.69% (-2.535 -2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (2.743 2.74)69.24% (-2.74 -2.74)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-3.258 -3.26)22.42% (3.261 3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-5.126 -5.13)55.94% (5.128 5.13)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.36%
    Stevenage 45.88%
    Draw 25.76%
Crawley TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.19% (1.153 1.15)
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.78 0.78)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.908 0.91)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.442 0.44)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.43 0.43)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.36%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.62 0.62)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 10.95% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.453 -0.45)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-1.021 -1.02)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.73 -0.73)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.992 -0.99)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.481 -0.48)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.88%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stevenage

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
23.8%
Stevenage
42.9%
21
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-1
Crawley
Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Telford (89' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stevenage
3-3
Crawley
Norris (21' pen., 74'), Read (81')
Prosser (53')
Francomb (24'), Vancooten (80' og.), Powell (90+2')
McNerney (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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