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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Crawley Town

Barnsley
3 - 0
Crawley

Russell (11'), Watters (51'), Keillor-Dunn (54')
Gent (45+1'), McCarthy (64'), Cosgrove (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

John-Jules (45+1'), Baker (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Wrexham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 4-4 Crawley
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 3-1 Crawley Town

With Crawley having had an extended rest period ahead of this game, it remains to be seen whether it could work in their favour. Nevertheless, we are backing Barnsley to come through in relatively comfortable fashion, even if they concede to the struggling away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCrawley Town
45.58% (-0.379 -0.38) 24.19% (0.159 0.16) 30.23% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 58.56% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-0.608 -0.61)43.73% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)66.12% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.401 -0.4)19.35% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.662 -0.66)51.13% (0.66 0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)27.39% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.205 -0.2)62.86% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 45.58%
    Crawley Town 30.23%
    Draw 24.19%
BarnsleyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Crawley

Barnsley
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
0-3
Barnsley

Forster (65'), Connell (84')
Pines (12'), Phillips (23', 45+2')
Pines (13'), Hepburn-Murphy (65'), Connell (85'), Yoganathan (90+4')
Feb 14, 2015 3pm
Crawley
5-1
Barnsley
McLeod (45', 73', 83'), Bradley (48'), Elliott (59')
Fowler (45'), Wordsworth (63')
Hemmings (65')
Scowen (52'), Cranie (58')
Aug 9, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
0-1
Crawley

Rose (22')
Jennings (61')
McLeod (82')
Young (29'), Smith (45'), McLeod (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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