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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
54.73% (![]() | 21.69% (![]() | 23.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.61% (![]() | 37.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.39% (![]() | 59.6% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% (![]() | 13.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.07% (![]() | 40.92% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% (![]() | 28.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% (![]() | 64.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.71% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.73% | 1-1 @ 9.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 6.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 |
7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 |
9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 |
12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 |
14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 |
17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 |
R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 |
R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 |
R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 |
R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 |
> League One Full Table |