

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley | 
| 48.86% (  -2.19) | 22.78% (  0.35) | 28.35% (  1.83) | 
| Both teams to score 62.3% (  0.32) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.74% (  -0.27) | 38.25% (  0.26) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.47% (  -0.28) | 60.53% (  0.27) | 
| Bolton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.04% (  -0.86) | 15.95% (  0.86) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.76% (  -1.6) | 45.23% (  1.59) | 
| Barnsley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.12% (  1.12) | 25.87% (  -1.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.14% (  1.5) | 60.85% (  -1.51) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley | 
| 2-1 @ 9.4% (  -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.58% (  -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.95% (  -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.75% (  -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.25% (  -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.89% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.64% (  -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.95% (  -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.78% (  -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% (  -0.11) Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.24% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 6.36% (  0.11) 0-0 @ 4.13% (  0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% (  0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.92% (  0.32) 0-1 @ 5.58% (  0.24) 0-2 @ 3.77% (  0.28) 1-3 @ 3.12% (  0.24) 2-3 @ 2.86% (  0.14) 0-3 @ 1.7% (  0.18) 1-4 @ 1.06% (  0.11) 2-4 @ 0.97% (  0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.35% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 40 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 95 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 82 | 
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 67 | 37 | 30 | 81 | 
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 77 | 
| 5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 76 | 
| 6 | Reading | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 | 
| 7 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 66 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 63 | 62 | 1 | 66 | 
| 9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 64 | 
| 10 | Blackpool | 41 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | 
| 11 | Barnsley | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 57 | 
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 55 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 54 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 52 | 
| 15 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 52 | 
| 16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 48 | 
| 17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 47 | 
| 18 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 47 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 47 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 42 | 
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 42 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 49 | 81 | -32 | 36 | 
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 35 | 
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
