

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 48.86% ( | 22.78% ( | 28.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( | 60.53% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( | 15.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.76% ( | 45.23% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( | 25.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.14% ( | 60.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 40 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 95 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 82 |
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 67 | 37 | 30 | 81 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 77 |
| 5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 76 |
| 6 | Reading | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
| 7 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 66 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 63 | 62 | 1 | 66 |
| 9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 64 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 41 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 57 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 55 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 54 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 52 |
| 15 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 48 |
| 17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 47 |
| 18 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 47 |
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 47 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 42 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 42 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 49 | 81 | -32 | 36 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 30 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
