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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
48.86% (![]() | 22.78% (![]() | 28.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.74% (![]() | 38.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% (![]() | 60.53% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% (![]() | 15.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.76% (![]() | 45.23% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% (![]() | 25.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% (![]() | 60.85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.24% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.92% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 40 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 95 |
2 | Wrexham | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 82 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 42 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 67 | 37 | 30 | 81 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 77 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 76 |
6 | Reading | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
7 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 66 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 63 | 62 | 1 | 66 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Blackpool | 41 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 |
11 | Barnsley | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 57 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 55 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 54 |
14 | Stevenage | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 52 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 48 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 47 |
18 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 47 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 42 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 42 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 49 | 81 | -32 | 36 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 35 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |