

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 26.63% ( | 26.57% ( | 46.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( | 55.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( | 76.78% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( | 36.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.95% ( | 73.05% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( | 23.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.1% ( | 57.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 3-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.63% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 42 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 99 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 44 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 86 |
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 69 | 41 | 28 | 84 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 82 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 81 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 44 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
| 7 | Reading | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 72 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 66 |
| 9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 43 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 67 | 56 | 11 | 63 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 51 | 11 | 61 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 58 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 15 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 55 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 43 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 55 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 53 |
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 53 |
| 17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 50 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 19 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 43 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 43 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 52 | 82 | -30 | 40 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 44 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 38 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 76 | -38 | 30 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
