Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.