

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town | 
| 37.18% (  -0.13) | 23.71% (  0.09) | 39.11% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 62.56% (  -0.35) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.55% (  -0.45) | 39.44% (  0.46) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.21% (  -0.47) | 61.79% (  0.48) | 
| Accrington Stanley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.63% (  -0.26) | 21.37% (  0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.65% (  -0.41) | 54.34% (  0.42) | 
| Swindon Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.57% (  -0.17) | 20.43% (  0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.12% (  -0.28) | 52.88% (  0.29) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town | 
| 2-1 @ 8.26% (  -0) 1-0 @ 6.74% (  0.09) 2-0 @ 5.2% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 4.25% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.37% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.68% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.03% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 10.7% (  0.09) 2-2 @ 6.56% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.37% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.79% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.5% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 6.93% (  0.11) 0-2 @ 5.51% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 4.5% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.47% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.91% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% (  -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.16% (  -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.11% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 | 
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 | 
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 | 
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 | 
| 5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 | 
| 6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 | 
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 | 
| 8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 | 
| 10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 | 
| 12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 | 
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 | 
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 | 
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 | 
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 | 
| 18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 | 
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 | 
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 | 
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
