League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
MK Dons3 - 2Swindon
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 4-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
41.83% ( 0.01) | 23.96% ( -0) | 34.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% ( -0) | 41.15% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.46% ( -0) | 63.54% ( 0) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 0) | 19.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.95% ( 0.01) | 52.05% ( -0.01) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.01) | 23.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.15% ( -0.01) | 57.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
MK Dons 41.83%
Swindon Town 34.21%
Draw 23.95%
| MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.21% |
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
