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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Swindon Town
MK Dons
5 - 0
Swindon
Grigg (16', 45+2', 46', 49'), Fraser (26' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
49.45%24.32%26.24%
Both teams to score 55.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14%46.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88%69.12%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81%19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44%50.56%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 49.44%
    Swindon Town 26.24%
    Draw 24.32%
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 49.44%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.06%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.24%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
1-4
MK Dons
Payne (37')
Hunt (83')
Jerome (4', 40'), Harvie (28'), Poole (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
2-3
Swindon
Hesketh (60'), Agard (88')
Aneke (37'), Martin (72')
Doughty (34', 73'), Anderson (60')
Vigouroux (93')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
1-1
MK Dons
Adebayo (90')
Anderson (56')
Walsh (4')
Cargill (43')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-1
MK Dons
Obika (90')
Ince (39'), Colkett (94')
Agard (43' pen.)
Walsh (34'), Lewington (95')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
3-2
Swindon
Agard (9', 26'), Maynard (53')
Norris (36'), Rossi Branco (67')
Norris (52'), Rossi Branco (57')
[nma]
Content continues below the video

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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd1492326141229
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Blackpool156542119223
8Lincoln CityLincoln146441914522
9Derby CountyDerby146352115621
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe146352223-121
11Burton Albion165561619-320
12Leyton Orient155551418-420
13Bristol Rovers145452019119
14Cambridge UnitedCambridge155461315-219
15Charlton AthleticCharlton145362219318
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan147162117414
20Northampton TownNorthampton144281517-214
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood143381222-1012
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126

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