Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
