Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
