

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw has a probability of 19.8% and a win for Heracles has a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it is 1-2 (5.23%).
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
| 60.48% ( | 19.84% ( | 19.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.27% ( | 33.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.44% ( | 55.55% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.1% ( | 10.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.95% ( | 35.05% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( | 30.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.59% ( | 66.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 4-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 19.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
| 5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
| 6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
| 13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
| R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
| R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
