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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
FC Volendam

Excelsior
4 - 0
Volendam

Duijvestijn (41'), Lamprou (43', 67'), Parrott (55')
Benita (26'), Goudmijn (90+3')
Parrott (16'), El Yaakoubi (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Buur (15'), Benamar (30'), Karim (77')
Karim (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-1 Excelsior
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Volendam

We anticipate a hard-fought encounter in what is a true six-pointer in the Eredivisie fight for survival on Friday. With the hosts' squad decimated by injures and the visitors gaining momentum in their unlikely survival bid, we fancy Volendam to make it back-to-back triumphs and move level with their opponents in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
52.64% (0.288 0.29) 22.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 24.54% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58.49% (-0.553 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.32% (-0.558 -0.56)41.67% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92% (-0.566 -0.57)64.08% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-0.101 -0.1)15.87% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.186 -0.19)45.09% (0.186 0.19)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)30.47% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.686 -0.69)66.69% (0.68600000000001 0.69)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 52.64%
    FC Volendam 24.54%
    Draw 22.81%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.192 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Volendam

SBV Excelsior
35.5%
Draw
29.0%
FC Volendam
35.5%
31
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Volendam
3-1
Excelsior
Benamar (53'), Muhren (57'), De Haan (71')
Ould-Chikh (76')
Driouech (33')
Parrott (70'), Horemans (89')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Volendam
3-2
Excelsior
Van Mieghem (10'), Van Gassel (23' og.), Antonucci (27')
Lamprou (56'), Agrafiotis (78')
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
2-0
Volendam
Mirani (18' og.), Azarkan (80')
Mar 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Volendam
2-5
Excelsior
Muhren (34' pen.), Deul (54')
Eerdhuijzen (36')
Goudmijn (2'), Niemeijer (15'), Dallinga (18'), Azarkan (29'), Chacon (90+4')
Wieffer (22'), El Yaakoubi (33'), Chacon (62')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
1-1
Volendam
Dallinga (40')
Muhren (45+1')
Twigt (5'), Kasius (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Heracles29811103648-1235
10Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
11NECNijmegen2996144243-133
12Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
13Groningen2988132844-1632
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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