

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.86%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.8% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (4.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 18.8% ( | 18.34% ( | 62.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.38% ( | 27.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.73% ( | 48.26% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( | 27.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.24% ( | 62.76% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.44% ( | 8.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.39% ( | 29.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.84% ( 1-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 2-0 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 4.29% Total : 18.8% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 2.34% ( 3-3 @ 2.11% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 1-3 @ 7.51% ( 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 2-3 @ 4.87% ( 1-4 @ 4.62% ( 0-4 @ 3.56% ( 2-4 @ 2.99% ( 1-5 @ 2.27% ( 0-5 @ 1.75% ( 2-5 @ 1.47% ( 3-4 @ 1.3% ( 1-6 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.83% Total : 62.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
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